What Should a Business Plan Include?

Introduction
The term ‘Business Plan’ gets thrown around almost as much as the term ‘Innovation’. Everyone has a fair idea of what it is yet they think it’s something that they can easily accomplish without much effort or thorough research. You can clearly see this with the amount of books, articles, blogs, templates and other resources available in almost any format. Although some of these resources may be a good start, a lot of them still miss the underlying purpose of a business plan. Sahlman (1997) states that “the Entrepreneurial Business Plan must describe an attractive, sustainable business model; one that is possible to create a competitive edge and defend it.”

There are many different aspects that make up a good business plan. Rich & Gumpert (1985) suggest that “physically putting a business plan together requires the entrepreneur to translate the vision of the new venture and how it will perform into a format that is dictated, in large part, by the audience.”

This post sets out to identify the reasons why businesses need a business plan and tries to explore what determines a successful business plan and how to achieve it.

Why do you write a business plan?
Rich & Gumpert (1985) state that when developing a business plan, “it is important to satisfy the needs of marketers and investors. Marketers want to see evidence of customer interest and a viable market. Investors want to know when they can cash out and how good the financial projections are.” I think that Rich & Gumpert have made a fair statement but I also believe that a business plan is not purely a document for raising capital. The underpinning research required to develop a business plan allows the entrepreneur to take a multi-dimensional view of their business which gives them a great insight on areas such as how big their potential market is, how much it might be worth and how they are going to get to it.

Research undertaken on a business plan must be done thoroughly and when possible should have input from external sources. Rich & Gumpert provided a good example of analysis gone wrong in their paper titled ‘How to write a winning business plan’ (Harvard Business Review, 1985) when they said “…he reasoned that he could have 170,000 customers if he penetrated even 1% of the market of 17 million small enterprises in the United States. The panel pointed out that anywhere from 11 million to 14 million of such so-called small businesses were really sole proprietorships or part-time businesses.”

One of the key factors in the failure of my first venture, Cerberus Technology, was that because I was struggling so hard to bring in work and trying to make wages I did not put enough time and effort into having an outward view of the company. I know now that planning is a key part of business survival (and one’s sanity).

In researching this paper I found a quote that I wish I had read 7 years ago, it said “Write your business plans by looking outward to your key constituencies rather than looking inward at what suits you best. You will save valuable time and energy this way and improve your chances of winning investors and customers.” (Rich & Gumpert, 1985)

Businesses are destined to fail without proper planning. It’s similarly like trying to drive to the Giant Lobster blindfolded. You have no idea which roads to take, if there is anyone else in your space, what speed you are doing or how much fuel you have. Ansoff (1991) said it best when he stated “planning generally produces better results than does trial-and-error learning.”

Investors, angels and venture capitalists use the business plan during their deal-screening process. Deal screening is defined as: “The initial decision process by a venture capital firm where many entrepreneurial business plans are screened down to a few that are deemed to have high probability of success and warrant further due diligence.” (Hindle, K & Mainprize, B, 2006)

Rich & Gumpert (1985) suggest, “Without a plan furnished in advance, many investor groups won’t even grant an interview.” The reason for this is because most venture capital firms only have a few partners, yet they receive hundreds even thousands of business plans. Realistically, venture capitalists are only likely to invest in 1 out of every 100 that they screen. This means that not only must the business plan be thoroughly researched, it must be presented in a way that catches their interest and makes them want to know more.

What will determine success of a business plan?
Rich & Gumpert (1985) state that a business plan must accurately reflect the following viewpoints:

  1. The market, including both existing and prospective clients, customers, and users of the planned product or service.
  2. The investors, whether of financial or other resources.
  3. The producer, whether the entrepreneur or the inventor.”

I would argue that although a business plan requires those vital areas, it is simply not enough. I believe Hindle & Mainprize (2006) presented the strongest thesis where they said that a “business plan has two fundamental purposes:

  1. Communication – business plans must be a tool that clearly communicates the future and its uncertainty
  2. Credibility – business plans must portray credibility by providing for revision and iteration.”

The business plan is the first point of contact for the entrepreneur when trying to raise money. This means that the entrepreneur must be able to clearly communicate their passion, vision, purpose and goals through a document that should not exceed 40 pages.

In a sense, the business plan must be written in a language that the venture capitalist can understand without exerting too much mental capacity. Hindle (1997) believes that the communication mandate of the business plan is to “anticipate the target investor’s due diligence questions and provide answers to them before they are asked”.

The entrepreneur must also be willing to stand by his actions and yet, be able to back down when he has been proven wrong. Hindle (1997) says that the initial version of a business plan “assumes the role of the opening address in a constructive dialogue; not final oracular proclamation requiring only assent or dissent”.

Hindle (1997) also states that an effective business plan has the capacity to enable the target investor to “gain flexible perspectives on the desirability and feasibility of the new venture”.

Companies must be flexible in order to move with the markets; therefore entrepreneurs must understand the need for flexibility in their business plan. Hindle (1997) states that a business plan “which presents a ‘take it or leave it’ set of propositions or has its financial forecasts ‘set in cement’ has a high likelihood of failure”.

A prime example of this type of flexibility is the Nokia Corporation. Nokia began in the late 1800’s as a paper mill, then at the turn of the century moved into electricity generation. Throughout the 1900’s Nokia delved into many markets including cables, televisions, consumer electronics, military equipment and personal computers. Finally in the 1990’s Nokia focused solely on the telecommunications markets. Because of Nokia’s everlasting flexibility and entrepreneurship, they have been a successful company for 144 years.

Summary
Without proper planning, a business can only have a very short view of where they are headed and how they are going to get there. Hindle (1997) states that without a business plan, “new ventures are likely to be stillborn through a lack of ability to attract vital physical and financial resources”. What Hindle is really stating is that no respective venture capitalist or investor will give you an audience without first screening you and your company through your business plan.

Hindle & Mainprize (2006) believe that improving the communication and credibility aspects of a business plan could have the potential to improve the likelihood that the plan passes the venture capital deal-screening process.
“Only a well conceived and well-packaged plan can win the necessary investment and support for your idea.” (Rich, S & Gumpert, D, 1985)

By Matt Leeburn, August 2009

King George V: Six Maxims

I read about these in Dale Carnigie’s ‘How to Win Friends and Influence People’. I thought I should track them down and share them here.

1. Teach me to be obedient to the rules of the game.
2. Teach me to distinguish between sentiment and sentimentality admiring the one and despising the other.
3. Teach me neither to proffer nor receive cheap praise.
4. If I am called upon to suffer, let me be like a well – bred beast that goes away to suffer in silence.
5. Teach me to win, if I may; if I may not win, then above all teach me to be a good loser.
6. Teach me neither to cry for the moon nor over spilt milk.

Creative Recruiting

Determining who to hire is one of, if not the, most important things you’ll do as a business owner. But what happens if you put your job listing out there and nobody qualified responds? Red5, a video game development company came up with an amazing strategy to recruit the best in the business.

Check it out here:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/24836769#24836769

Source: MSNBC

Life lessons from an ad man

Very interesting talk about the world of advertising.


Source: TED

What Managers can learn from the Nobel Committee

Was Obama’s award too early, or just good Management?

Michael Watkins
Friday October 9, 2009
Harvard Business Publishing

Beyond the obvious snub to the Bush Administration, what was the Nobel Committee’s goal in awarding President Obama the Peace Prize? Certainly this is not an “A” for accomplishment, as it will take years, if not decades, to discern whether the Obama administration’s international overtures and embrace of the UN system will bear fruit. (Let’s remember to acknowledge the hard work of Hillary Clinton here too.)

Rather it is an “A” for attitude; it’s for Obama’s “extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples,” as the Nobel Committee put it, lauding his outreach to the Muslim world and attempts to prevent nuclear proliferation.

Obviously this comes at a very good time for the Obama administration. Of course, it will infuriate his critics on the right who despair (sometimes correctly) of the weaknesses of the UN system in dealing with the challenges posed by Iran and North Korea. But it will play well with the “sensible middle” of the nation, the pragmatic independents who, one hopes, will take this as evidence that Obama’s efforts to end the long dark night of American unilateralism and isolation are bearing fruit.

The Nobel Committee’s actions do, however, highlight an interesting and quite general management issue. When should we reward people for “right acting” as opposed to “right results?” When is the process worthy of the praise?

The answer is that managers should reward people who exhibit the right attitudes (and supporting actions, of course) whenever (1) it’s difficult to make a direct connection between actions and measurable accomplishments (for example, because of a significant time lag) and (2) it’s important to encourage people to continue thinking and acting in the right ways, to motivate them to pursue desired goals (for example, when we are trying to change a company culture).

Obama’s situation definitely meets the first criterion, as it will take a long time before we know whether his efforts will pay off. But the Nobel Committee certainly had criterion #2 in mind in awarding the Peace Prize to our President: they wanted to raise expectations and so provide Obama with an incentive to aggressively continue to pursue his current approach.

In the research we do on negotiation, this is known as a commitment tactic. It effectively commits someone to pursue a specific course of action or else suffer a big loss. If you were in the President’s shoes, you’d have to be thinking, “How will it look to history if I was awarded this prize for trying hard, but never accomplished much”?

Source: http://blogs.harvardbusiness.org/watkins/2009/10/obama_and_the_peace_prize_a_fo.html?cm_re=homepage-061609-_-lede-_-headline

A lesson on ethics

Given your past, how should you operate in the future?

“Berlin’s Jewish memorial halted after firm linked with supply of Nazi gas”

Luke Harding in Berlin
Monday October 27, 2003
The Guardian

A Holocaust memorial in Berlin to Europe’s 6 million murdered Jews was at the centre of huge embarrassment last night after it emerged that one of its German construction firms had supplied Zyklon B used in Nazi gas chambers.

The memorial’s board of trustees ordered an abrupt halt to the project following revelations that the German company Degussa was connected with the supply of gas used in Nazi concentration camps. The firm had been awarded a contract to cover the memorial’s 2,700 concrete pillars in a graffiti-proof coating.

Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/germany/article/0,2763,1071821,00.html

Seven Rules of Distribution

1. Select Distributors – don’t let them select you

2. Look for distributors capable of developing markets, rather than those with a few obvious customer contacts

3. Treat the distributors as long term partners, not temporary market entry vehicles

4. Support market entry by committing money, managers and proven marketing ideas

5. From the start, maintain control over marketing strategy

6. Make sure distributors provide you with detailed market and financial data

7. Build links among national distributors asap

Source: HBR Dec 2000
Author: David Arnold

The Formula for Change

The Formula for Change was created by Richard Beckhard and David Gleicher and is sometimes called Gleicher’s Formula. This formula provides a model to assess the relative strengths affecting the likely success or otherwise of organisational change programs.
D x V x F > R
Three factors must be present for meaningful organizational change to take place. These factors are:
D = Dissatisfaction with how things are now;
V = Vision of what is possible;
F = First, concrete steps that can be taken towards the vision.
If the product of these three factors is greater than
R = Resistance,
then change is possible. Because of the multiplication of D, V and F, if any one is absent or low, then the product will be low and therefore not capable of overcoming the resistance.
To ensure a successful change it is necessary to use influence and strategic thinking in order to create vision and identify those crucial, early steps towards it. In addition, the organization must recognize and accept the dissatisfaction that exists by communicating industry trends, leadership ideas, best practice and competitive analysis to identify the necessity for change.
Some documentation also refers to the resistance to change as the cost of change. It is then subdivided into the economic cost of change (monetary cost) and the psychological cost of change. What this tries to demonstrate is that even if the monetary cost of change is low, the change will still not occur should the psychological resistance of employees be at a high level and vice versa. In this case the formula for change is represented as:
D x V x F > C(e+p)
What this allows managers to do is to isolate the actual problem areas of change and develop unique strategies specifically designed to resolve the correct form of resistance.
Source: Wikipedia

The Formula for Change was created by Richard Beckhard and David Gleicher and is sometimes called Gleicher’s Formula. This formula provides a model to assess the relative strengths affecting the likely success or otherwise of organisational change programs.

D x V x F > R

Three factors must be present for meaningful organizational change to take place. These factors are:

D = Dissatisfaction with how things are now;

V = Vision of what is possible;

F = First, concrete steps that can be taken towards the vision.

If the product of these three factors is greater than

R = Resistance,

then change is possible. Because of the multiplication of D, V and F, if any one is absent or low, then the product will be low and therefore not capable of overcoming the resistance.

To ensure a successful change it is necessary to use influence and strategic thinking in order to create vision and identify those crucial, early steps towards it. In addition, the organization must recognize and accept the dissatisfaction that exists by communicating industry trends, leadership ideas, best practice and competitive analysis to identify the necessity for change.

Some documentation also refers to the resistance to change as the cost of change. It is then subdivided into the economic cost of change (monetary cost) and the psychological cost of change. What this tries to demonstrate is that even if the monetary cost of change is low, the change will still not occur should the psychological resistance of employees be at a high level and vice versa. In this case the formula for change is represented as:

D x V x F > C(e+p)

What this allows managers to do is to isolate the actual problem areas of change and develop unique strategies specifically designed to resolve the correct form of resistance.

Source: Wikipedia

Great Minds

“Great minds discuss ideas.
Average minds discuss events.
Small minds discuss people.”

— Eleanor Roosevelt.

The Turkey and the Butcher

This is a transcript of an interview Charlie Rose has with Nicholas Taleb on his book, The Black Swan.

NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB:  In the book, I have the story of a turkey that is fed for 1,000 days by a butcher, and every day confirms to the turkey and the turkey’s economics department and the turkey’s risk management department and the turkey’s analytical department that the butcher loves turkeys, and every day brings more confidence to the statement.  So it’s fed for 1,000 days…

CHARLIE ROSE:  Gets fatter and fatter and fatter.

NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB:  Fatter and fatter.  On the day when its comfort will be at its maximum, there is going to be a surprise.  There will be a surprise for the turkey.

CHARLIE ROSE:  Yes.

NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB:  There will be a surprise for the turkey’s economics department, all those Ph.D.’s.  Will it be — after all, there’s maximum (inaudible)…

CHARLIE ROSE:  But it’s not a surprise for the butcher, is it?

NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB:  Not a surprise for Charlie Rose as well.  Not a surprise for humans.  It’s a surprise for the turkey. So the whole idea here is we are not to be a turkey.  And who is a turkey? Bankers.